7 Aug · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1753
FormWWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Strowski
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
69%
31%
🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 71% (105)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)