7 Aug · 23:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1760
FormWWWWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Durda
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1447
FormWWLLW
80%
20%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Durda
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~74 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+313
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+313)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)