7 Aug · 15:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1438
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dabrowski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1413
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H21-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.