7 Aug · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1514
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1584
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H111-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (111-49)