7 Aug · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1390
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Myszewski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1413
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.