8 Aug · 03:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1533
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
60%
40%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)