8 Aug · 02:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1488
FormWLWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1749
FormLWWWW
24%
76%
🌟Juszczyk goes over total as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Durda
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+261
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+261)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)