7 Aug · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1439
FormLWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1586
FormWWLLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)