7 Aug · 19:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1338
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Golaszewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1329
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H5-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.