7 Aug · 19:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1523
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pyrek
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1434
FormWWWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)