7 Aug · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1606
FormLLWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Krutak
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1428
FormLWWWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)