7 Aug · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1343
FormWWLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H109-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (109-29)