7 Aug · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1632
FormLLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pawlik
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1525
FormLWWWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)