7 Aug · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1477
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Orszulik
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1388
FormWLWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Orszulik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)