7 Aug · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1439
FormWWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Ruszkiewicz
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1270
FormLLLWW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H26-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)