7 Aug · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1325
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1381
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)