7 Aug · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1662
FormLWWLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Oracz
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1433
FormWLWWW
73%
27%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+229
H2H20-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+229)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-4)