8 Aug · 00:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1476
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Szymik
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1460
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H35-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.