8 Aug · 00:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1468
FormLWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Orszulik
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1277
FormWLLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Orszulik
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+191
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+191)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)