8 Aug · 00:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1310
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skorski
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1372
FormLWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H49-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)