8 Aug · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1681
FormWWWLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Oracz
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1434
FormWLLLW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+247
H2H21-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+247)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-4)