8 Aug · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1619
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1685
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krutak🌟Krutak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)