8 Aug · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1623
FormWWWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Krutak
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1430
FormLWLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+193
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)