8 Aug · 05:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1389
FormLWWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Fira
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1260
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H44-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-36)