8 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RC
🇵🇱Radoslaw Chrzescian
ELO 1529
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chrzescian
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1433
FormLWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Chrzescian
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)