8 Aug · 06:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1490
FormWWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Szymik
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1330
FormWLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H110-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (110-29)