8 Aug · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1403
FormLWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Sawicki
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1237
FormLLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)