8 Aug · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1367
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szoltysek
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1320
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.30· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)