8 Aug · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1457
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wozniak
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1415
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Wozniak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H8-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)