8 Aug · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1599
FormLWWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Adamus
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1400
FormLWWWW
71%
29%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)