8 Aug · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1387
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Piotrowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1290
FormLLLLW
61%
39%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)