8 Aug · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1558
FormWWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pytlas
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1396
FormLLWWW
67%
33%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H20-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-7)