8 Aug · 13:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1359
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Szoltysek
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1360
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.