8 Aug · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1381
FormLLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sawicki
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1220
FormLLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)