8 Aug · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1359
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nosiadek
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1302
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Nosiadek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)