8 Aug · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1520
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stapor
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 67% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)