8 Aug · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1302
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1363
FormWLLLL
43%
57%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~84 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)