8 Aug · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1216
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Wojcik
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1440
FormLLWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Wojcik
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+224
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+224)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)