8 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1514
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chrzescian
RC
🇵🇱Radoslaw Chrzescian
ELO 1569
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Chrzescian
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)