8 Aug · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1555
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pawlik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1626
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H26-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)