8 Aug · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1440
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Morawiec
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1503
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)