8 Aug · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1593
FormWWLLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Kolek
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1347
FormLLWLL
75%
25%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+246
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+246)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)