8 Aug · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1596
FormWWWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Kolek
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1343
FormLWWWL
75%
25%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+253
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+253)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)