8 Aug · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1618
FormLLWWL
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Pawlik
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1222
FormLWLWL
85%
15%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~71 pts
3-0
42%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+396
H2H31-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+396)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-5)