8 Aug · 20:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1596
FormWWWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Kolek
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1355
FormLWLLW
74%
26%
🔥 Underdog lean · Poloszczanski🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+241
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+241)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)