8 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1598
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1612
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.