8 Aug · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1466
FormWLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Szymik
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1266
FormLWLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H112-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (112-14)