8 Aug · 21:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1529
FormLWWWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Zmijewski
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1235
FormWLWLW
79%
21%
Fair odds · Zmijewski
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 85% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+294
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+294)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)