8 Aug · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1600
FormWWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kolek
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1421
FormWWWWL
69%
31%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H36-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-27)