8 Aug · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1350
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nowak
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1394
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Nowak goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Nowak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H14-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)